Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles
​
(lead author) with Gary Goertz, Paul Diehl, and Andy Owsiak "The Saavedra Lamas Peace: How a Norm Complex Evolved and Crystallized to Eliminate War in the Americas," International Studies Quarterly, 68, no. 2 (2024).
​
with Raul Madrid "Reining in Rebellion: The Decline of Political Violence in South America, 1830-1929," International Security, 48, no. 3 (2024): 129-167.
​
with Detlef Nolte "To Lead or Not to Lead: Regional Powers and Regional Leadership," International Politics, 61, no. 1 (2024): 40-59.
​
with Aníbal Pérez Liñán and Kelly Morrison "Compliance in Time: Lessons from the Inter-American Court of Human Rights," International Studies Review, 25, no. 1 (2023): 1-23.
​
(lead author) with Pedro Feliú, Dawisson Lopes and Guilherme Casarões"Myths of Multipolarity: The Sources of Brazil's Foreign Policy Overstretch," Foreign Policy Analysis, 18, no. 1 (2022): 1-22.
​
“Bringing War Back In: Victory and State Formation in Latin America,”American Journal of Political Science, 65, no. 2 (2021): 405-421. Awarded Best Paper on Political Institutions, Latin American Studies Association, 2020.
​
(lead author) with Gary Goertz, Paul Diehl, and Andy Owsiak “Settling Resistant Territorial Disputes: The Territorial Boundary Peace in Latin America,”International Studies Quarterly, 64, no. 1 (2020): 57-70. Appendix 1, Appendix 2, Appendix 3, Appendix 4.
​
(lead author) with Jorge Battaglino and Sean Braniff “Was the Malvinas/Falklands a Diversionary War? A Prospect Theory Reinterpretation of Argentina's Decline,”Security Studies, 29, no. 1 (2020): 34-63. Appendix 1. Awarded Best Article on Defense, Security and Democracy, Latin American Studies Association, 2020.
​
with Federico Merke and Diego Reynoso “Foreign Policy Change in Latin America: Exploring a Middle Range Concept,”Latin American Research Review, 55, no. 3 (2020): 413-429.
​
with Camilo Nieto "Backing Despots? Foreign Aid and the Survival of Autocratic Regimes,"Democracy and Security, 16, no. 1 (2020): 36-58.
​
(lead author) with Scott Mainwaring “US Hegemony and Regime Change in Latin America,”Democratization, 26, no. 2 (2019): 269-287. Appendix 1, Appendix 2, Appendix 3.
​
“The Argentina-Brazil Regional Power Transition,”Foreign Policy Analysis, 14, no. 4 (2018): 469-489.
​
“The Southern African unipolarity,”Journal of Contemporary African Studies, 36, no. 2 (2018): 207-228.
​
with Nicole Jenne and Francisco Urdinez “Of words and deeds: Latin American declaratory regionalism, 1994-2014,”Cambridge Review of International Affairs, 30, no. 2 (2017): 195-215.
​
“La Lógica Realista de la Unipolaridad Sudamericana,”Desarrollo Económico, 57, no. 222 (2017): 253-276.
​
“Subsystemic Unipolarities? Power Distribution and State Behaviour in South America and Southern Africa,”Strategic Analysis, 41, no. 1 (2017):74-86.
​
with Carlos Escude “Peripheral Realism Revisited,”Revista Brasileira de Política Internacional, 59, no. 1 (2016): 1-18.
​
with Francisco Urdinez, Fernando Mouron and Amâncio Oliveira “Chinese Economic Statecraft and US Hegemony in Latin America: An Empirical Analysis, 2003–2014,”Latin American Politics and Society, 58, no. 4 (2016): 3-30.
​
​
Book Chapters
​
with Aníbal Pérez Liñán and Kelly Morrison “Addressing Conceptual Challenges: Compliance and Impact“ in Armin von Bogdandy et al. (eds.) The Impact of the Inter-American Human Rights System (New York: Oxford University Press, 2024).
​
“Reinvented Governments in Latin America“ in Miguel Centeno and Agustin Ferraro (eds.) State Making and Nation Making in Latin America and Spain: The Neoliberal State and Beyond (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2023).
​
with Paul Diehl, Gary Goertz, and Andrew Owsiak “Political Shocks and the Punctuated Equilibrium Model“ in William Thompson and Thomas Volgy (eds.) Shocks and Political Change (London: Springer, 2023).
​
with Diego Leiva “Dual Hegemony: Brazil Between the United States and China“ in Florian Boeller and Welf Werner (eds.) Hegemonic Transition (London: Springer, 2021).
​
“Brazil: Pursuing the Multipolar Mirage“ in Benjamin Zala (ed.) National Perspectives on a Multipolar Order (Manchester: Manchester University Press, 2021).
​
(with Pierfrancesco Moscuzza) “The United States, Democracy, and Authoritarianism in Latin America“ in Pablo Baisotti (ed.) Problems and Alternatives in the Modern Americas (London: Routledge, 2021).
​
“Hegemony“ in Oxford Research Encyclopedia of International Studies (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2019).
​
with Andrés Malamud “Neoliberal Institutionalism and Neo-Functionalism in Latin American Security Studies,” in David Mares and Arie Kacowicz (eds.) Routledge Handbook of Latin American Security (London: Routledge, 2015).
​
​
Policy Papers
​
with Paul Diehl, Andy Owsiak, and Gary Goertz “Tracking the Evolution of Conflict: Barometers for Interstate and Civil Conflict“ United States Institute of Peace, vol 23. no. 4 (2023).
​
with Nicolás Albertoni “What to Expect From US-Latin America Relations in the Era of Bolsonaro?“Harvard Kennedy School - Latin America Policy Journal, no. 8 (2019).
with Victor Mijares and Anne Hoffmann “Die Krise in Venezuela – Prüfstein für die UNASUR“GIGA Focus Lateinamerika, no. 3 (2015).
​
“Le Brésil et son parcours vers une hégémonie en Amérique du Sud“Sciences Po - Observatoire Politique de l'Amérique latine et des Caraïbes, no. 2 (2014).
​
​
Working Papers
with Felipe Campos and Camilo Nieto “The Unintended Consequences of the War on Drugs in Colombia.“
​
with Lucas Paes, Thales Carvalho, Marina Duque, and Andres Malamud “Regional Relevance.“
​
with Thales Carvalho, Steffen Eckhard, and Inken von Borzyskowski “Explaining the decline of UN Resolutions on Civil War.“
​
​
Op-Eds
​
"Why Maduro is Bluffing" The Duck of Minerva, 12/20/2023.
​
​with Andres Malamud "Latin America Is Off the Global Stage" Foreign Policy, 10/09/2020.
​
"Bipolarity or Hegemony? Latin America's dilemma for the 21st century" E-International Relations, 02/24/2019.
​
with Scott Mainwaring "Democracy is in Crisis in Latin America" The Washington Post (Monkey Cage), 10/22/2018.
​
"Brasil contrae su política exterior" La Nación, 07/12/2017.
​
"Could China undermine the US in Latin America?" The Washington Post (Monkey Cage), 12/03/2016.
​
​
​
​